Conventional Wisdom Not Looking So Wise
Going into the Democratic primary, it was the conventional wisdom that this would be a walk-away for whomever won the Democrats nod. With war support low and Bush approval ratings in the tank, it would be no contest. And when it looked more and more like Obama would be the Democrats’ candidate, the possibility of electing the nation’s first black President is tantalizing.
So then, how is this possible?
With the dust having finally settled after the prolonged Democratic presidential primary, a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll shows Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama locked in a statistical dead heat in the race for the White House.
With just over four months remaining until voters weigh in at the polls, the new survey out Tuesday indicates Obama holds a narrow 5-point advantage among registered voters nationwide over the Arizona senator, 50 percent to 45 percent. That represents little change from a similar poll one month ago, when the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee held a 46-43 percent edge over McCain.
CNN Polling Director Keating Holland notes Tuesday’s survey confirms what a string of national polls released this month have shown: Obama holds a slight advantage over McCain, though not a big enough one to constitute a statistical lead.
Frankly, I, too, was prepared early on for a Democratic president. I thought the combination of history and the Iraq war would sweep a Democrat into the White House, but the polls — first Gallup, now CNN – keep getting tighter and tighter.
It’s the Democrats election to lose. It could happen.
[tags]US politics,US presidential election,Barack Obama,John McCain,polls,CNN[/tags]
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