Feel-Good Diplomacy
How’s that working out for President Obama? Charles Krauthammer takes a look back at the past nine months and ticks off this administration’s biggest foreign policy initiatives.
What’s come from Obama holding his tongue while Iranian demonstrators were being shot and from his recognizing the legitimacy of a thug regime illegitimately returned to power in a fraudulent election? Iran cracks down even more mercilessly on the opposition and races ahead with its nuclear program.
What’s come from Secretary of State Hillary Clinton taking human rights off the table on a visit to China and from Obama’s shameful refusal to see the Dalai Lama (a postponement, we are told)? China hasn’t moved an inch on North Korea, Iran or human rights. Indeed, it’s pushing with Russia to dethrone the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
What’s come from the new-respect-for-Muslims Cairo speech and the unprecedented pressure on Israel for a total settlement freeze? "The settlement push backfired," reports The Post, and Arab-Israeli peace prospects have "arguably regressed."
And what’s come from Obama’s single most dramatic foreign policy stroke — the sudden abrogation of missile defense arrangements with Poland and the Czech Republic that Russia had virulently opposed? For the East Europeans it was a crushing blow, a gratuitous restoration of Russian influence over a region that thought it had regained independence under American protection.
But maybe not gratuitous. Surely we got something in return for selling out our friends. Some brilliant secret trade-off to get strong Russian support for stopping Iran from going nuclear before it’s too late? Just wait and see, said administration officials, who then gleefully played up an oblique statement by President Dmitry Medvedev a week later as vindication of the missile defense betrayal.
The Russian statement was so equivocal that such a claim seemed a ridiculous stretch at the time. Well, Clinton went to Moscow this week to nail down the deal. What did she get?
"Russia Not Budging on Iran Sanctions; Clinton Unable to Sway Counterpart." Such was The Post headline’s succinct summary of the debacle.
Note how thoroughly Clinton was rebuffed. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov declared that "threats, sanctions and threats of pressure" are "counterproductive." Note: It’s not just sanctions that are worse than useless, but even the threat of mere pressure.
There’s more; read the whole thing(tm). Now granted, nine months is not time enough to make great strides. Heck, it’s barely enough time to win a "peace" prize. But if the world has a collective thrill up its leg over the election of He Who Is Not Bush, it’s having a difficult time showing it.
As I noted 3 years ago, the facade is just that; a false front. Goodwill was not squandered because little of it was there in the first place. The world is just as difficult to work with now as it has ever been, especially for those European leftists who keep trying to remake American in their image, those radical Islamists who hatched a massive terrorist attack plan while we had a Democrat in the White House, and a Russian government deeply paranoid of America, no matter who is in power.
Fine oratory, promises, and a medal given because of them, will not change the world. There are too many enemies out there that will be placated only by a credible threat of force. The more credible the threat, the less likely it is that it need be used.
Filed under: Doug • Foreign Policy • Government • Russia
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Yup, Krauthammer hit another homer with this one. Obama has the most naive foreign policy I think we’ve ever seen. He’s Jimmy Carter on steroids.
Obama thinks that if he apologizes for past American actions people will like us and will thus cooperate with us more. He thinks that he can talk dictators out of their nuclear weapons, and jihadists out of their anti-Israel ideology.
Machiavelli asked
“Upon this a question arises: whether it be better to be loved than feared or feared than loved? It may be answered that one should wish to be both, but, because it is difficult to unite them in one person, is much safer to be feared than loved, when, of the two, either must be dispensed with.”
Obama wants to be loved but does not want to be feared. Medvedev, Ahmadinejad, Chavez, Ghadaffi, (Mahmoud) Abbas, and whatever communist is running China have picked this up, and they perceive it as weakness. They are exploiting this by moving forward with their foreign policy goals at full speed.
We are headed towards a resurgent Russia, a nuclear Iran, revolution in Central America, Palestinians who will never compromize, and a China that is moving to take Taiwan. None of this bodes well for the people of this world.
Our best hope is that the GOP wins big in 2010 and can temper the worst of Obama by voting more money for the military. In 2012 we retake the White House and put into place a foreign policy that keeps the dictators of the world in their place.